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January 15, 2008

ガソリン

最近、本当に高いですよね。

この所、自民、民主の考え方の
明確な争点として、ガソリン税が話題になっています。
暫定税率の問題は、個人的に非常に大切な
問題と考えています。
もともと、取りすぎているのだからとかの
意見もありますが、この問題は今後の
日本社会の目指す方向の試金石って思います。

減税をして消費活動を活発にする政策と
あくまで政府の管理下での税の配分によって、
経済運営をしていく。
どちらが正しいのか私には解りません。
でも、今までのやり方で上手くいってないのですから、
違う手法をするのも一考って思います。

心配な点は、迎合政治の芽が出てきているという
兆しかも知れないという点ですね。
私自身が自分と公共のバランスが取れていませんので
この点は今後の注目点って感じています。

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Comments

のほほんさん、こんばんは・・・

トヨタの配当利回りが3%なったら、買いやで!
おもてましたが、まさかの坂はないやろで、2%ちょいで、
ちょろ買いしとったら。。。。まさかの坂の、08年3月期、
3%超え・・・ホンダも。日産にいたっては、4%超えて・・・
な・なんと、5%の大台に乗るんでは・・・なんでふが。。。
まさかの坂が来たら、玉切れ・・・つうことも、ありまふが。
地獄の釜が、口を開けた???で、びびっちゃてまふ。。。

あるとこでの、世間話。。。

先週末、追証の整理つけたでんすわ。。。
お客はんも、気ぃ楽になったゆてはんです。で、昨日。
帰ってきて、観たら、そんヒト。建て玉、建ってるです。
今日、いきなり、追証。ほんま、、、
街金の気分ですわ。。。

ところで、「びびっちゃてまふ。。。」と書いたものの。。。
じつのとこ、日経平均7000割れ?の頃と比較ひて、、、
妙に切迫感ないのでふが、どこぞの《ふふん》首相の空気に
呑まれてるのでしょうか。。。

Posted by: ぽじ・・ | January 23, 2008 at 01:17 AM

ぽじ・・さん、こんばんは。

B4さんに高配当を・・・・苦笑。
この時期に信用って豪快というか、
お金持ちがいるもんですねぇ。

私は、持ち株の事は忘れました。
残してある現金を使うチャンスは狙ってます。

まぁ、株取引をやっていると
こういう時期もあるのでしょう←多分。

私はちょっと危機感を持っていますよ。
ただ、今回の下落はGSの欲張りが主因と
想定しています。


Posted by: のほほん | January 23, 2008 at 06:48 PM

某見解

http://www.miller.co.jp/cgi-bin/member/chartl.cgi?0104I

日経ドルチャート (中期2に設定すると02年からの姿が見れます)


2008年1月23日 水曜日 午前 7:29:04
相場が更なる下へのクラッシュがあるのではと心配する理由として、サププライムの問題で大口の投資家は他の商品の大きな損失、ポ-トフォリオに組入れられている個々の商品、ストップロスがかかり、その商品の中でも日本株は昨年の夏からみれば二割近い円高にささえられ、 今の水準ではまだ含み益がでていると考えられる。

だから今後かなり大きなロットでの現物の売り物がでてくるのではと思われる からだ、これ位日本株が値下がりしても外国人投資家からみれば13000はの二割上の15600ぐらい水準と なるのだからね。

これを考慮すれば半値押しの水準はここから2割引の1万円割れという事になる。
この水準も想定の範囲内と考えていた方がいいかも知れない、しかしここから3000円ぐらい下値があるかも知れないが、1万円も下がることは絶対にありえない。

目先の心配は兎も角、中長期相場を張る者にとっては絶好の買いチャンスとなるのかな、今一つ心配なのは原油安になったら産油国の投資資金が減少すると
同時に今世界に投資されている資金を一気に回収する動きとなるから、株式市場は大混乱となり収拾のつかない最悪の状況となることも想定しておいた方が良いかも知れない。

このように相場が下がると次から次へと負の連鎖を考えたくなる、相場なんて怖くないが、人の思惑ほど怖いものはない、相場は人の思惑が創りだす芸術だと言っても過言ではないかもしれない。


2008年1月24日 木曜日 午前 5:49:47

数字合わせによる日経ダウ下値の節目
① 18297-15273=3024 3024X2=6048 17488-6048=11440
② 17488-14669=2819 2819X2=5638 16107-5638=10469

①の解説 昨年06/22の高値-08/27の安値=3024 3024の倍 6034 10/22の高値-6048=11440
②の解説 昨年10/12の高値-11/23の安値=2819  2819の倍 5638 12/07の高値-5638=10469

アバウト下値の節目は11440-10469ということになるのだが、相場は刻々と下値の節目に接近しつつあり常識的に考えればここら辺から、相場が何時自律反発をしても可笑しくない水準に達していることだけは確かなことと思う。

ここまで下げれば自律反発は3分の一か半値戻りの水準まで期待できるかも知れないが、


Posted by: B4 | January 26, 2008 at 11:54 AM

のほほんさん、こんばんは。

08年1月・経産省最高幹部の都内某所での講演
「長期投資だけを誘致するのが日本の政策」
「株主は軽薄、強欲で堕落してる」
「良い会社は株主を軽視する」

08年1月26日・ダボスでの非公式昼食会。
「経済改革はこのテーブルにいる竹中さん(元総務相)が
すべて行ってしまったので、わたしがすることは
ありません。」どこぞの《ふふん》首相の発言。

廃刊になった、日経金融のコラム記事からです。
本誌では見た記憶のないモノです。どちらにしても、
日経なら、一面大見出しで、記事にすべき発言です。
朝日(チョウニチ)新聞的にいえば、政権打倒でひょ。
廃刊だから書けたとしたら、、、本誌も廃刊にしたらと。。。

毒入り餃子事件、どこぞの《ふふん》首相は、自分の
国が悪いといって、幕引きするのでしょうか。
こちらからは、官憲を送れず。まるで、こちらに、
犯人がいるがごとく、あちらの官憲を受け入れてるのですから。

最近しったことなんですが・・・
大正期の軍の大リストラの時、陸軍では、少佐以下の
給料が大削減されたそうです。今で言う、二重派遣状態。
よくて、マックの店長状態。にもかかわらず、中佐以上は、
高給取りだったとか。佐官クラスでこの状態ですから、
コレ以下の階級って・・・昭和の青年将校反乱の遠因?
軍の階級に知識がないので、少佐が企業でいえば、
どのあたりなのか、わかりませんが、大佐で艦長職
(大企業の支社長)だとすると、部課長クラスでしょうか。
部課長クラスが、コンビニ店長状態以下の所得だとすると、
マグマがたまるだろうなと。。。

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